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New York Mets
7
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
1
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567894121
Mets · 10 H, 1 ENationals · 3 H, 1 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Daylen Lile flies out to center fielder A.J. Ewing.
bot 9José Tena called out on strikes.
bot 9CJ Abrams reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Brett Baty.
bot 9Dylan Crews strikes out swinging.
top 9Mark Vientos grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Yohandy Morales.
top 9Carson Benge grounds out softly, pitcher Richard Lovelady to first baseman Yohandy Morales. Nick Morabito to 3rd. Bo Bichette to 2nd.
top 9Bo Bichette walks. Nick Morabito to 2nd.
top 9Juan Soto hit by pitch.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ronny Mauricio 2-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Carson Benge 3-5 · A.J. Ewing 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
James Wood 2-4 · Brady House 1-3 · Yohandy Morales 0-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.