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New York Mets
4
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
6
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 9 H, 0 ENationals · 9 H, 1 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Carson Benge strikes out swinging.
top 9Bo Bichette singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dylan Crews.
top 9Juan Soto flies out to left fielder Daylen Lile.
top 9Francisco Lindor flies out to right fielder Dylan Crews.
bot 8Nasim Nuñez lines out to center fielder A.J. Ewing.
bot 8Harry Ford walks.
bot 8Daylen Lile strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jacob Young strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Lindor 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ronny Mauricio 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Carson Benge 3-5, 1 RBI
Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Andrés Chaparro 3-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Brady House 1-3, 1 RBI · CJ Abrams 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.