Statball

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Philadelphia Phillies
3
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
0
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 5 H, 0 ENationals · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9José Tena strikes out swinging.
bot 9CJ Abrams pops out to third baseman Bryson Stott.
bot 9Abimelec Ortiz strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9J.T. Realmuto lines into a double play, pitcher Yovanny Cruz to first baseman Abimelec Ortiz. Bryson Stott out at 1st.
top 9Bryson Stott walks. Luis Arraez to 3rd. Alec Bohm to 2nd.
top 9Alec Bohm walks. Luis Arraez to 2nd.
top 9Luis Arraez walks.
top 9Bryce Harper strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Alec Bohm 2-2, 1 RBI · Justin Crawford 1-3 · Bryce Harper 1-4
Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Daylen Lile 2-4 · CJ Abrams 1-4 · Dylan Crews 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.