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New York Mets
6
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
7
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 9 H, 1 ENationals · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Bo Bichette grounds out softly, pitcher Josiah Gray to first baseman Yohandy Morales.
top 9Juan Soto walks.
top 9Francisco Lindor strikes out swinging, catcher Keibert Ruiz to first baseman Yohandy Morales.
top 9Christopher Morel flies out to shortstop Nasim Nuñez.
bot 8Yohandy Morales strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8James Wood grounds out, second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Christopher Morel.
bot 8Jorbit Vivas flies out to center fielder Cristian Pache.
top 8A.J. Ewing strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bo Bichette 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Carson Benge 2-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Juan Soto 2-4
Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dylan Crews 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Daylen Lile 2-3, 1 RBI · James Wood 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.