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Miami Marlins
3
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
6
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 11 H, 1 ENationals · 11 H, 1 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brian Navarreto strikes out swinging.
top 9Esteury Ruiz strikes out swinging.
top 9Jakob Marsee called out on strikes.
bot 8Andrew Pinckney caught stealing 2nd base, catcher Brian Navarreto to shortstop Otto Lopez.
bot 8Andrew Pinckney singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
bot 8Nasim Nuñez pops out to shortstop Otto Lopez.
bot 8Jacob Young flies out to right fielder Esteury Ruiz.
top 8Leo Jiménez grounds into a double play, second baseman José Tena to first baseman Andrés Chaparro. Javier Sanoja out at 2nd. Leo Jiménez out at 1st.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jakob Marsee 2-4 · Javier Sanoja 2-4 · Kyle Stowers 2-4, 2 RBI
Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Daylen Lile 3-3, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Brady House 2-4, 1 RBI · Andrew Pinckney 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.