Statball

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Miami Marlins
4
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
5
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 6 H, 1 ENationals · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Dylan Crews singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Nasim Nuñez scores. José Tena to 3rd. Daylen Lile to 2nd.4–5
bot 10Daylen Lile walks. Nasim Nuñez to 3rd. José Tena to 2nd.
bot 10José Tena walks.
bot 10Abimelec Ortiz pops out to third baseman Leo Jiménez.
bot 10CJ Abrams strikes out swinging.
top 10Jakob Marsee strikes out swinging.
top 10Otto Lopez singles on a ground ball to third baseman Brady House. Heriberto Hernández to 3rd.
top 10Griffin Conine strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Heriberto Hernández 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Javier Sanoja 1-3 · Kyle Stowers 1-4, 2 RBI
Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brady House 2-4, 1 RBI · Abimelec Ortiz 2-5 · Dylan Crews 2-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.