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Chicago Cubs
12
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
6
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 13 H, 2 ENationals · 11 H, 1 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jacob Young flies out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
bot 9José Tena homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.126
bot 9Harry Ford grounds out, third baseman Pedro Ramírez to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 9CJ Abrams strikes out swinging.
top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong grounds out, first baseman Abimelec Ortiz to pitcher Trevor Williams.
top 9Dansby Swanson strikes out swinging.
top 9Pedro Ramírez doubles (9) on a line drive to left fielder José Tena. Ian Happ to 3rd.
top 9Ian Happ grounds into a force out, second baseman Nasim Nuñez to shortstop CJ Abrams. Nico Hoerner out at 2nd. Ian Happ to 1st.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Alex Bregman 3-3, 3 HR, 7 RBI · Dansby Swanson 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Pedro Ramírez 2-4
Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Abimelec Ortiz 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · José Tena 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Daylen Lile 2-4, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.