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Cincinnati Reds
3
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
5
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 7 H, 1 ENationals · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ivan Johnson strikes out swinging.
top 9Noelvi Marte grounds out, third baseman Brady House to first baseman Abimelec Ortiz.
top 9Héctor Rodríguez flies out to center fielder Jacob Young.
bot 8Dylan Crews flies out sharply to center fielder Héctor Rodríguez.
bot 8Daylen Lile strikes out swinging.
bot 8Brady House singles on a ground ball to shortstop Elly De La Cruz.
bot 8Abimelec Ortiz walks.
bot 8CJ Abrams grounds out, third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes to first baseman Sal Stewart.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Matt McLain 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Elly De La Cruz 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Eugenio Suárez 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Daylen Lile 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Harry Ford 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brady House 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.