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Toronto Blue Jays
6
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
8
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Jays · 8 H, 2 ENationals · 8 H, 2 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Myles Straw lines out sharply to second baseman Nasim Nuñez.
top 9Luis Urías strikes out swinging.
top 9Andrés Giménez grounds out to first baseman Luis García Jr.
bot 8Keibert Ruiz strikes out swinging.
bot 8CJ Abrams flies out to right fielder Nathan Lukes.
bot 8Dylan Crews called out on strikes.
top 8Ernie Clement strikes out swinging.
top 8Daulton Varsho flies out to left fielder Daylen Lile.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
George Springer 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Kazuma Okamoto 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nathan Lukes 2-4
Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Luis García Jr. 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Dylan Crews 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brady House 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.