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Arizona Diamondbacks
3
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
5
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892141
Diamondbacks · 6 H, 1 ENationals · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nolan Arenado grounds out, third baseman Curtis Mead to first baseman Luis García Jr.
top 9Ildemaro Vargas flies out to left fielder Daylen Lile.
top 9Ketel Marte lines out to center fielder Jacob Young.
bot 8Luis García Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8Curtis Mead grounds out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
bot 8James Wood flies out to left fielder Max Kepler.
top 8Gabriel Moreno grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Luis García Jr.
top 8Geraldo Perdomo flies out to left fielder Daylen Lile.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Tim Tawa 2-3 · Ryan Waldschmidt 1-2 · Ildemaro Vargas 1-4
Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
CJ Abrams 3-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jacob Young 2-4 · Andrés Chaparro 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.