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New York Yankees
5
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
3
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 8 H, 1 ENationals · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jorbit Vivas flies out to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
bot 9Nasim Nuñez grounds out, pitcher Paul Blackburn to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 9Daylen Lile flies out sharply to center fielder Trent Grisham.
top 9Anthony Volpe strikes out swinging.
top 9Paul Goldschmidt walks.
top 9José Caballero out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Dylan Crews. Cody Bellinger scores.53
top 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. doubles (12) on a line drive to center fielder Dylan Crews. Cody Bellinger to 3rd.
top 9Cody Bellinger singles on a ground ball to right fielder James Wood.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cody Bellinger 2-3 · Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2-4, 1 RBI · José Caballero 1-3, 1 RBI
Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
James Wood 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Curtis Mead 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · José Tena 2-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.