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New York Yankees
5
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
3
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 13 H, 3 ENationals · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9James Wood grounds out softly, pitcher David Bednar to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 9Keibert Ruiz grounds out, first baseman Paul Goldschmidt to pitcher David Bednar.
bot 9Luis García Jr. grounds out softly, pitcher David Bednar to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 9Paul Goldschmidt grounds out softly, third baseman Curtis Mead to first baseman Luis García Jr.
top 9Trent Grisham walks. Anthony Volpe to 3rd. Ben Rice to 2nd.
top 9Ben Rice walks. Anthony Volpe to 2nd.
top 9Anthony Volpe singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jacob Young, deflected by pitcher Justin Lawrence.
top 9Austin Wells homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.53

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jasson Domínguez 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Austin Wells 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ben Rice 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
James Wood 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Keibert Ruiz 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · CJ Abrams 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.