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Houston Astros
2
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
8
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 8 H, 0 ENationals · 9 H, 1 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brice Matthews grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Luis García Jr.
top 9Yainer Diaz grounds out, second baseman Jorbit Vivas to first baseman Luis García Jr. Christian Walker to 3rd.
top 9Cam Smith grounds out, third baseman Curtis Mead to first baseman Luis García Jr.
top 9Christian Walker doubles (18) on a fly ball to right fielder James Wood.
bot 8Jorbit Vivas lines out to left fielder Zach Dezenzo.
bot 8Dylan Crews walks. Curtis Mead to 2nd.
bot 8Daylen Lile flies out to center fielder Brice Matthews. Luis García Jr. to 3rd.
bot 8CJ Abrams flies out to center fielder Brice Matthews.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Paredes 2-4 · Zach Dezenzo 2-3 · Nick Allen 1-3
Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Luis García Jr. 3-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · CJ Abrams 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Daylen Lile 2-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.