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New York Yankees
4
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
2
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 9 H, 0 ENationals · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Luis García Jr. grounds out, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 9James Wood singles on a fly ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
bot 9Nasim Nuñez grounds out, pitcher David Bednar to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 9José Tena strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9José Caballero grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Curtis Mead.
top 9Ryan McMahon walks.
top 9Austin Wells flies out sharply to left fielder Daylen Lile.
top 9Anthony Volpe grounds out sharply, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Curtis Mead.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Trent Grisham 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ryan McMahon 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Paul Goldschmidt 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
James Wood 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Curtis Mead 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · CJ Abrams 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.