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Houston Astros
11
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
12
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 12 H, 2 ENationals · 13 H, 0 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Christian Walker lines out to center fielder Jacob Young.
top 9Isaac Paredes grounds out, third baseman Curtis Mead to first baseman Luis García Jr.
top 9Yordan Alvarez called out on strikes.
bot 8CJ Abrams strikes out swinging.
bot 8Curtis Mead lines out to third baseman Isaac Paredes.
bot 8Luis García Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8James Wood walks.
top 8Jose Altuve grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Luis García Jr.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Brice Matthews 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Yainer Diaz 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jose Altuve 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Washington Nationals
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 62 batters faced over the last two days
CJ Abrams 3-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Curtis Mead 3-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Nasim Nuñez 3-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.