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Houston Astros
6
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
3
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 6 H, 1 ENationals · 11 H, 0 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Dylan Crews strikes out swinging.
bot 9CJ Abrams walks.
bot 9Curtis Mead singles on a ground ball to shortstop Nick Allen. James Wood to 3rd. Curtis Mead to 2nd. James Wood advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by shortstop Nick Allen.
bot 9Andrés Chaparro strikes out swinging.
bot 9James Wood singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith.
bot 9José Tena homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.63
bot 9Jorbit Vivas lines out to right fielder Cam Smith.
top 9Cam Smith grounds into a double play, second baseman Jorbit Vivas to first baseman Andrés Chaparro. Christian Walker out at 2nd. Cam Smith out at 1st.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Jose Altuve 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Isaac Paredes 1-5 · Nick Allen 1-2, 3 RBI
Washington Nationals
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 43 batters faced over the last two days
James Wood 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · José Tena 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nasim Nuñez 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.