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Pittsburgh Pirates
11
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
5
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 13 H, 0 ENationals · 10 H, 1 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9CJ Abrams flies out sharply to right fielder Jared Triolo.
bot 9Curtis Mead singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jake Mangum.
bot 9Luis García Jr. flies out to center fielder Billy Cook.
bot 9James Wood lines out to left fielder Jake Mangum.
top 9Jake Mangum grounds out, pitcher Justin Lawrence to first baseman Luis García Jr.
top 9Jared Triolo grounds into a double play, second baseman Curtis Mead to first baseman Luis García Jr. Henry Davis out at 2nd. Jared Triolo out at 1st.
top 9Henry Davis singles on a line drive to left fielder Daylen Lile. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Nick Gonzales scores.115
top 9Nick Gonzales doubles (13) on a line drive to right fielder James Wood. Ryan O'Hearn to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Lowe 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Bryan Reynolds 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nick Gonzales 3-4
Washington Nationals
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 55 batters faced over the last two days
Luis García Jr. 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Dylan Crews 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Curtis Mead 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.