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Pittsburgh Pirates
7
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
1
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 11 H, 0 ENationals · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Drew Millas grounds out, shortstop Konnor Griffin to first baseman Tyler Callihan.
bot 9José Tena grounds out, third baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Tyler Callihan.
bot 9Dylan Crews strikes out swinging.
top 9Billy Cook strikes out swinging.
top 9Bryan Reynolds grounds out, pitcher Riley Cornelio to first baseman Andrés Chaparro.
top 9Brandon Lowe flies out to left fielder Daylen Lile.
bot 8Daylen Lile strikes out swinging.
bot 8CJ Abrams flies out to left fielder Bryan Reynolds.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan Reynolds 2-5 · Ryan O'Hearn 2-4 · Nick Gonzales 2-3, 1 RBI
Washington Nationals
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
James Wood 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Daylen Lile 2-4 · Dylan Crews 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.