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Philadelphia Phillies
10
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
5
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 13 H, 2 ENationals · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Curtis Mead lines out to center fielder Justin Crawford.
bot 9James Wood grounds out softly, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper.
bot 9Keibert Ruiz grounds out, third baseman Alec Bohm to first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Justin Crawford strikes out swinging.
top 9Derek Hill homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. J.T. Realmuto scores.105
top 9J.T. Realmuto doubles (8) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Dylan Crews. Brandon Marsh scores.85
top 9Bryson Stott flies out to left fielder Daylen Lile.
top 9Alec Bohm flies out to right fielder José Tena.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Marsh 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Bryce Harper 2-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Derek Hill 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 69 batters faced over the last two days
Dylan Crews 3-4 · Curtis Mead 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Daylen Lile 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.