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Philadelphia Phillies
14
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
9
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 17 H, 1 ENationals · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Dylan Crews pops out to first baseman Bryce Harper in foul territory.
bot 9Luis García Jr. homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.149
bot 9Curtis Mead strikes out swinging.
bot 9James Wood grounds out, third baseman Edmundo Sosa to first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Brandon Marsh strikes out swinging.
top 9Trea Turner singles on a line drive to right fielder James Wood. Edmundo Sosa scores. Justin Crawford to 3rd.148
top 9Justin Crawford walks.
top 9Edmundo Sosa doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. J.T. Realmuto scores. Gabriel Rincones Jr. scores.138

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 45 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Marsh 3-6, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Bryson Stott 3-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Edmundo Sosa 2-5, 1 HR, 5 RBI
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Jorbit Vivas 2-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Luis García Jr. 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Dylan Crews 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.