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Philadelphia Phillies
5
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
4
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 8 H, 0 ENationals · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Luis García Jr. called out on strikes.
bot 9James Wood strikes out swinging.
bot 9Nasim Nuñez called out on strikes.
top 9Trea Turner grounds out, pitcher Richard Lovelady to first baseman Luis García Jr.
top 9Derek Hill homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Garrett Stubbs scores.54
top 9Kyle Schwarber walks.
top 9Gabriel Rincones Jr. called out on strikes.
top 9J.T. Realmuto grounds out, third baseman Curtis Mead to first baseman Luis García Jr.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 45 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Marsh 3-4 · Derek Hill 1-1, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Trea Turner 2-5
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 49 batters faced over the last two days
Jorbit Vivas 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Curtis Mead 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Luis García Jr. 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.