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Philadelphia Phillies
1
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
4
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 5 H, 1 ENationals · 12 H, 2 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Justin Crawford strikes out swinging.
top 9Alec Bohm grounds into a double play, shortstop CJ Abrams to second baseman Nasim Nuñez to first baseman Luis García Jr. Bryce Harper out at 2nd. Alec Bohm out at 1st.
top 9Bryce Harper singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young.
bot 8Dylan Crews called out on strikes.
bot 8Curtis Mead called out on strikes.
bot 8Chase Shugart intentionally walks James Wood.
bot 8Nasim Nuñez singles on a line drive to left fielder Edmundo Sosa. Keibert Ruiz to 3rd.
bot 8Luis García Jr. flies out to center fielder Derek Hill.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Marsh 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryce Harper 2-4 · Rafael Marchán 1-3
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 45 batters faced over the last two days
Curtis Mead 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Luis García Jr. 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nasim Nuñez 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.