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Kansas City Royals
6
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
2
0% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 13 H, 0 ENationals · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Daylen Lile flies out to right fielder John Rave.
bot 9Dylan Crews lines out to center fielder Lane Thomas.
bot 9CJ Abrams pops out to first baseman Jac Caglianone.
bot 9Curtis Mead hit by pitch.
top 9Kameron Misner caught stealing 2nd base, catcher Keibert Ruiz to shortstop CJ Abrams.
top 9Salvador Perez singles on a line drive to left fielder Daylen Lile.
top 9Michael Massey grounds out, second baseman Nasim Nuñez to first baseman Luis García Jr.
bot 8Luis García Jr. grounds out, second baseman Michael Massey to first baseman Jac Caglianone.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Carter Jensen 4-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · John Rave 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Michael Massey 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Nasim Nuñez 2-3 · CJ Abrams 1-4, 1 RBI · Dylan Crews 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.