Statball

← All live games · Nationals Park

Seattle Mariners
1
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
10
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 5 H, 1 ENationals · 14 H, 2 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Luke Raley called out on strikes.
top 9Patrick Wisdom flies out sharply to right fielder Dylan Crews.
top 9Julio Rodríguez strikes out swinging.
bot 8CJ Abrams lines out to left fielder Luke Raley.
bot 8Dylan Crews grounds out, shortstop Colt Emerson to first baseman Patrick Wisdom. James Wood scores.110
bot 8Luis García Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8James Wood doubles (16) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Victor Robles. Jacob Young scores.19
bot 8Jacob Young doubles (8) on a line drive to left fielder Luke Raley. Jorbit Vivas scores.18

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Naylor 1-3 · Victor Robles 1-3 · Cole Young 1-4
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 48 batters faced over the last two days
James Wood 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Keibert Ruiz 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jacob Young 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.