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Kansas City Royals
4
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
6
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 10 H, 0 ENationals · 10 H, 1 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Isaac Collins strikes out swinging.
top 9Jac Caglianone grounds into a double play, second baseman Nasim Nuñez to shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Curtis Mead. Bobby Witt Jr. out at 2nd. Jac Caglianone out at 1st.
top 9Bobby Witt Jr. walks.
top 9Lane Thomas homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.46
bot 8José Tena flies out sharply to center fielder Kameron Misner.
bot 8James Wood flies out sharply to left fielder Isaac Collins.
bot 8Nasim Nuñez walks.
bot 8Drew Millas doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Lane Thomas 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bobby Witt Jr. 3-4, 1 RBI · Nick Loftin 2-4
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 45 batters faced over the last two days
Curtis Mead 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Nasim Nuñez 2-2, 1 RBI · Drew Millas 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.