Statball

← All live games · Nationals Park

Kansas City Royals
3
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
7
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891225
Royals · 8 H, 0 ENationals · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Lane Thomas grounds out, third baseman Curtis Mead to first baseman Luis García Jr.
top 9Carter Jensen pops out to shortstop CJ Abrams.
top 9Nick Loftin doubles (9) on a ground ball to left fielder Daylen Lile.
bot 8Keibert Ruiz grounds out, second baseman Nick Loftin to first baseman Salvador Perez.
bot 8Jacob Young walks.
bot 8Daylen Lile walks.
bot 8Dylan Crews grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Salvador Perez.
top 8Salvador Perez called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Loftin 2-3 · Jac Caglianone 2-4 · Carter Jensen 1-4, 1 RBI
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 44 batters faced over the last two days
Dylan Crews 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Nasim Nuñez 2-2 · Curtis Mead 1-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.