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Seattle Mariners
3
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
8
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893323
Mariners · 8 H, 2 ENationals · 10 H, 1 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Julio Rodríguez grounds out, third baseman Curtis Mead to first baseman Andrés Chaparro.
top 9Cole Young strikes out swinging.
top 9Colt Emerson grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Andrés Chaparro.
bot 8Andrés Chaparro flies out to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.
bot 8James Wood strikes out swinging.
bot 8Nasim Nuñez strikes out swinging.
top 8Mitch Garver strikes out swinging.
top 8Miles Mastrobuoni walks.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Colt Emerson 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Cole Young 2-5 · Mitch Garver 2-4, 1 RBI
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
CJ Abrams 3-4, 2 RBI · Luis García Jr. 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · José Tena 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.