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Seattle Mariners
10
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
2
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789531111
Mariners · 11 H, 0 ENationals · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Luis García Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 9James Wood grounds out, third baseman Patrick Wisdom to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 9Keibert Ruiz pops out to third baseman Patrick Wisdom.
top 9Victor Robles flies out to center fielder Jacob Young.
top 9Josh Naylor homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.102
top 9Patrick Wisdom strikes out swinging.
top 9Cole Young flies out to right fielder Dylan Crews.
bot 8Jorbit Vivas grounds out to first baseman Josh Naylor.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Dominic Canzone 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Josh Naylor 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Colt Emerson 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
James Wood 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Dylan Crews 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jorbit Vivas 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.