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Miami Marlins
4
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
1
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 10 H, 1 ENationals · 3 H, 1 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Daylen Lile pops out to shortstop Otto Lopez.
bot 9Jacob Young lines out to right fielder Owen Caissie.
bot 9CJ Abrams strikes out swinging.
bot 9Curtis Mead singles on a line drive to right fielder Owen Caissie. Dylan Crews to 2nd.
bot 9Dylan Crews hit by pitch.
top 9Javier Sanoja pops out to third baseman Curtis Mead.
top 9Owen Caissie walks.
top 9Jakob Marsee walks.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Esteury Ruiz 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Xavier Edwards 2-5 · Joe Mack 2-3, 2 RBI
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 49 batters faced over the last two days
Curtis Mead 1-4 · Jacob Young 1-4 · Keibert Ruiz 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.