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Miami Marlins
7
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
3
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 8 H, 1 ENationals · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Keibert Ruiz strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jorbit Vivas grounds out softly, pitcher Calvin Faucher to first baseman Liam Hicks. Daylen Lile to 2nd.
bot 9Dylan Crews called out on strikes.
bot 9Daylen Lile singles on a fly ball to left fielder Kyle Stowers.
top 9Kyle Stowers lines out to right fielder José Tena.
top 9Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to left fielder James Wood.
top 9Heriberto Hernández homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Jakob Marsee scores.73
top 9Joe Mack out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Mitchell Parker to second baseman Nasim Nuñez. Liam Hicks scores. Jakob Marsee to 2nd.53

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Heriberto Hernández 2-5, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Otto Lopez 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Joe Mack 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Daylen Lile 2-3 · CJ Abrams 1-4 · Drew Millas 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.