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Miami Marlins
7
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
3
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 10 H, 1 ENationals · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jacob Young strikes out swinging.
bot 9Daylen Lile grounds out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Connor Norby.
bot 9CJ Abrams flies out to left fielder Kyle Stowers.
top 9Leo Jiménez strikes out swinging. Xavier Edwards steals (9) 2nd base.
top 9Xavier Edwards singles on a ground ball to left fielder Daylen Lile.
top 9Kyle Stowers homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Otto Lopez scores.73
top 9Otto Lopez walks.
top 9Liam Hicks homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.53

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 44 batters faced over the last two days
Heriberto Hernández 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Kyle Stowers 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Liam Hicks 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Jacob Young 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Curtis Mead 2-4, 1 RBI · CJ Abrams 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.