Statball

← All live games · Nationals Park

San Diego Padres
4
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
9
100% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891111162
Padres · 6 H, 1 ENationals · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Miguel Andujar flies out to right fielder Dylan Crews.
top 9Gavin Sheets walks.
top 9Rodolfo Durán walks.
top 9Ramón Laureano strikes out swinging.
bot 8James Wood flies out to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
bot 8Curtis Mead doubles (9) on a line drive to left fielder Gavin Sheets. Dylan Crews scores. Drew Millas scores.49
bot 8Drew Millas reaches on a fielder's choice out, pitcher Wandy Peralta to catcher Rodolfo Durán. Jacob Young out at home. Dylan Crews to 2nd.
bot 8Dylan Crews grounds into a force out, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to second baseman Fernando Tatis Jr. Jacob Young to 3rd. Jorbit Vivas out at 2nd. Dylan Crews to 1st.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Manny Machado 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Xander Bogaerts 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Drew Millas 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Luis García Jr. 2-4, 2 RBI · CJ Abrams 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.