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San Diego Padres
7
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
5
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 10 H, 1 ENationals · 9 H, 2 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Daylen Lile strikes out swinging.
bot 9Dylan Crews flies out to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr.
bot 9CJ Abrams called out on strikes.
bot 9Curtis Mead walks.
top 9Ramón Laureano grounds out, second baseman Jorbit Vivas to first baseman Luis García Jr.
top 9Miguel Andujar strikes out swinging.
top 9Jackson Merrill flies out sharply to center fielder Dylan Crews.
top 9Manny Machado walks.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Ty France 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jackson Merrill 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 3-5, 1 RBI
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Curtis Mead 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Keibert Ruiz 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Dylan Crews 1-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.