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New York Mets
2
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
1
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 6 H, 1 ENationals · 5 H, 2 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Keibert Ruiz grounds out, second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Mark Vientos.
bot 9José Tena strikes out swinging.
bot 9Luis García Jr. grounds out, shortstop Bo Bichette to first baseman Mark Vientos. Daylen Lile to 3rd.
bot 9Daylen Lile doubles (14) on a fly ball to center fielder A.J. Ewing.
top 9Carson Benge flies out sharply to center fielder Jacob Young.
top 9Luis Torrens lines out to second baseman Nasim Nuñez.
top 9MJ Melendez strikes out swinging.
top 9A.J. Ewing hits a sacrifice bunt. Missed catch error by second baseman Nasim Nuñez, assist to pitcher Orlando Ribalta. Brett Baty to 3rd. Marcus Semien to 2nd. A.J. Ewing to 1st.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Brett Baty 2-4 · Luis Torrens 1-4 · Bo Bichette 1-4, 2 RBI
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Daylen Lile 2-4 · Keibert Ruiz 2-4 · James Wood 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.