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New York Mets
16
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
7
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 19 H, 0 ENationals · 11 H, 3 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 12Daylen Lile pops out to shortstop Vidal Bruján.
bot 12CJ Abrams doubles (11) on a ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge. Nasim Nuñez to 3rd.
bot 12Nasim Nuñez grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Marcus Semien. James Wood out at 2nd. Nasim Nuñez to 1st.
bot 12Curtis Mead flies out to right fielder Carson Benge.
bot 12James Wood singles on a ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge. Drew Millas scores.167
top 12Juan Soto pops out to first baseman Curtis Mead in foul territory.
top 12Bo Bichette doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Joey Wiemer. Hayden Senger scores. Carson Benge scores.166
top 12Carson Benge doubles (7) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Joey Wiemer. Marcus Semien scores. A.J. Ewing scores. Hayden Senger to 3rd.146

Context the model prices

New York Mets
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 59 batters faced over the last two days
Bo Bichette 3-6, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Brett Baty 2-6, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Carson Benge 3-6, 3 RBI
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 45 batters faced over the last two days
James Wood 3-6, 1 RBI · CJ Abrams 2-6, 1 RBI · Brady House 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.