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New York Mets
4
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
8
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 7 H, 1 ENationals · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Marcus Semien lines out sharply to center fielder Jacob Young.
top 9Tyrone Taylor strikes out swinging.
top 9Nick Morabito strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jacob Young homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Daylen Lile scores.48
bot 8Daylen Lile doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Carson Benge.
bot 8Dylan Crews strikes out swinging.
bot 8CJ Abrams lines out sharply to second baseman Marcus Semien.
top 8Mark Vientos strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 46 batters faced over the last two days
Juan Soto 2-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Bo Bichette 1-4 · Mark Vientos 1-4
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 46 batters faced over the last two days
CJ Abrams 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jacob Young 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Keibert Ruiz 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.