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New York Mets
6
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
9
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 10 H, 2 ENationals · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Carson Benge strikes out swinging.
top 9Luis Torrens grounds out softly to catcher Drew Millas.
top 9Brett Baty grounds out, second baseman Nasim Nuñez to first baseman Luis García Jr.
bot 8Luis García Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8James Wood flies out sharply to center fielder A.J. Ewing.
bot 8Nasim Nuñez singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Brett Baty.
bot 8Drew Millas grounds out, first baseman Mark Vientos to pitcher Daniel Duarte.
top 8A.J. Ewing called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 61 batters faced over the last two days
Bo Bichette 2-4, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Juan Soto 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Carson Benge 3-5
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 66 batters faced over the last two days
James Wood 3-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI · José Tena 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nasim Nuñez 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.