Statball

← All live games · Nationals Park

Baltimore Orioles
3
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
13
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678933172
Orioles · 10 H, 0 ENationals · 13 H, 0 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Taylor Ward flies out to left fielder Daylen Lile.
top 9Maverick Handley strikes out swinging.
bot 8Keibert Ruiz flies out to left fielder Taylor Ward.
bot 8Nasim Nuñez strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Daylen Lile singles on a ground ball to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.
bot 8CJ Abrams grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 8Brady House homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Curtis Mead scores.313
bot 8Curtis Mead walks.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 3 batters faced over the last two days
Samuel Basallo 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Tyler O'Neill 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Leody Taveras 2-4
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Keibert Ruiz 3-5, 1 HR, 5 RBI · Brady House 2-2, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jacob Young 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.