Statball

← All live games · Nationals Park

Baltimore Orioles
7
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
3
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678912121111
Orioles · 11 H, 0 ENationals · 9 H, 1 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9CJ Abrams pops out to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 9Brady House strikes out swinging.
bot 9Luis García Jr. doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.
bot 9James Wood strikes out swinging.
top 9Pete Alonso strikes out swinging and Gunnar Henderson caught stealing 2nd, catcher Keibert Ruiz to second baseman Nasim Nuñez to catcher Keibert Ruiz.
top 9Gunnar Henderson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Joey Wiemer. Jeremiah Jackson scores.73
top 9Taylor Ward strikes out swinging.
top 9Jeremiah Jackson doubles (5) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder James Wood.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Gunnar Henderson 4-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Colton Cowser 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Coby Mayo 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Jacob Young 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · James Wood 2-4 · Luis García Jr. 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.