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Baltimore Orioles
2
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
3
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 6 H, 0 ENationals · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Adley Rutschman strikes out swinging.
top 9Gunnar Henderson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jacob Young. Tyler O'Neill scores. Leody Taveras to 3rd.23
top 9Jeremiah Jackson out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder James Wood. Samuel Basallo scores.13
top 9Coby Mayo strikes out swinging.
top 9Leody Taveras walks. Samuel Basallo to 3rd. Tyler O'Neill to 2nd.
top 9Tyler O'Neill walks. Samuel Basallo to 2nd.
top 9Samuel Basallo singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder James Wood.
bot 8Brady House flies out to center fielder Blaze Alexander.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Gunnar Henderson 2-5, 1 RBI · Jeremiah Jackson 1-3, 1 RBI · Samuel Basallo 1-3
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Daylen Lile 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · CJ Abrams 1-4 · Curtis Mead 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.