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Minnesota Twins
2
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
15
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 3 H, 0 ENationals · 14 H, 1 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Josh Bell grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Curtis Mead.
top 9Trevor Larnach flies out to left fielder Daylen Lile.
top 9Brooks Lee reaches on a throwing error by pitcher Zak Kent.
top 9James Outman grounds out, first baseman Curtis Mead to pitcher Zak Kent.
bot 8Jacob Young flies out to center fielder Byron Buxton.
bot 8José Tena homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.215
bot 8Brady House flies out sharply to left fielder Trevor Larnach.
bot 8CJ Abrams hits a grand slam (9) to right center field. James Wood scores. Daylen Lile scores. Curtis Mead scores.214

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 11 batters faced over the last two days
Matt Wallner 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Luke Keaschall 1-3 · Victor Caratini 0-3
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
CJ Abrams 3-5, 1 HR, 5 RBI · Brady House 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Drew Millas 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.