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Minnesota Twins
5
0% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
7
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 11 H, 0 ENationals · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9James Outman strikes out swinging.
top 9Ryan Jeffers strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Austin Martin flies out to right fielder James Wood.
bot 8Keibert Ruiz strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Jacob Young flies out to second baseman Luke Keaschall.
bot 8José Tena strikes out swinging.
top 8Trevor Larnach pops out to third baseman Brady House in foul territory.
top 8Byron Buxton singles on a ground ball to right fielder James Wood.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan Jeffers 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brooks Lee 2-3, 2 RBI · Austin Martin 1-5
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Keibert Ruiz 3-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Brady House 1-3 · Curtis Mead 1-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.