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San Francisco Giants
10
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
5
0% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Giants · 15 H, 2 ENationals · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Brady House grounds into a double play, shortstop Willy Adames to second baseman Luis Arraez to first baseman Rafael Devers. Keibert Ruiz out at 2nd. Brady House out at 1st.
bot 9James Wood flies out to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee.
bot 9Keibert Ruiz hit by pitch.
top 9Daniel Susac grounds out, first baseman Curtis Mead to pitcher Richard Lovelady.
top 9Heliot Ramos walks. Luis Arraez scores. Matt Chapman to 3rd. Jung Hoo Lee to 2nd.105
top 9Jung Hoo Lee walks. Matt Chapman to 2nd.
top 9Casey Schmitt pops out to second baseman Nasim Nuñez.
top 9Rafael Devers strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Casey Schmitt 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Heliot Ramos 1-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Matt Chapman 3-5, 3 RBI
Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Daylen Lile 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · José Tena 3-4, 1 RBI · James Wood 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.