Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
7
100% — our call
Final
Washington Nationals
6
0% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityWashington Nationals
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Nationals in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cardinals · 9 H, 1 ENationals · 10 H, 2 E
0%
Nationals win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Nationals win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Nasim Nuñez strikes out swinging.
bot 10Jacob Young grounds out softly, third baseman Nolan Gorman to first baseman Alec Burleson. Daylen Lile to 3rd. Jorbit Vivas to 2nd.
bot 10CJ Abrams strikes out swinging.
bot 10Jorbit Vivas hit by pitch.
top 10Iván Herrera lines out to third baseman Brady House.
top 10JJ Wetherholt doubles (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Joey Wiemer. Thomas Saggese scores.75
top 10Nathan Church called out on strikes.
top 10Yohel Pozo grounds out, second baseman Nasim Nuñez to first baseman Luis García Jr. Thomas Saggese to 3rd.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Nolan Gorman 3-4, 1 RBI · Jordan Walker 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Nathan Church 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Washington Nationals
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Curtis Mead 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · James Wood 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · CJ Abrams 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.