Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
5
100% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
1
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 6 H, 0 EJays · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Jays win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Josh Smith lines out to left fielder JJ Bleday.
bot 9Sean Keys pops out to shortstop Elly De La Cruz.
bot 9Kazuma Okamoto strikes out swinging.
top 9Sal Stewart grounds out, shortstop Andrés Giménez to first baseman Sean Keys.
top 9Elly De La Cruz grounds out, second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Sean Keys.
top 9Carlos Jorge strikes out swinging.
bot 8Alejandro Kirk grounds out, second baseman Matt McLain to first baseman Sal Stewart.
bot 8Vladimir Guerrero Jr. strikes out on a foul tip.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
JJ Bleday 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Héctor Rodríguez 2-4, 2 RBI · Sal Stewart 1-5, 1 RBI
Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brett Bateman 2-3 · Andrés Giménez 1-3, 1 RBI · Sean Keys 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.