Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
5
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
6
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 12 H, 1 EJays · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Sal Stewart strikes out swinging.
top 9Elly De La Cruz grounds out, second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
top 9Carlos Jorge called out on strikes.
bot 8George Springer flies out sharply to center fielder Carlos Jorge.
bot 8Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grounds out, shortstop Oswaldo Cabrera to first baseman Sal Stewart.
bot 8Alejandro Kirk walks.
bot 8Andrés Giménez strikes out swinging.
top 8Oswaldo Cabrera grounds out, second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Eugenio Suárez 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Carlos Jorge 2-5 · Juan Brito 2-4
Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Charles McAdoo 2-3 · Nathan Lukes 2-3, 1 RBI · Myles Straw 2-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.