Statball

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Detroit Tigers
10
100% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
1
0% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 10 H, 1 EJays · 6 H, 2 E
0%
Jays win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ernie Clement flies out to right fielder Brett Callahan.
bot 9Charles McAdoo reaches on a throwing error by first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 9Davis Schneider strikes out swinging.
bot 9Kazuma Okamoto grounds out, shortstop John Peck to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 9Zach McKinstry lines out to shortstop Ernie Clement.
top 9Spencer Torkelson strikes out swinging.
top 9Max Clark singles on a ground ball to center fielder Myles Straw. Ben Malgeri scores. Eduardo Valencia to 3rd.10–1
top 9Eduardo Valencia doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Josh Smith. Ben Malgeri to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Hao-Yu Lee 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Spencer Torkelson 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Max Clark 2-5, 2 RBI
Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brett Bateman 2-4 · Nathan Lukes 1-3 · George Springer 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.