Statball

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Detroit Tigers
1
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
5
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891212
Tigers · 7 H, 3 EJays · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9John Peck lines out to second baseman Josh Smith.
top 9Brett Callahan strikes out swinging.
top 9Spencer Torkelson walks. Max Clark to 2nd.
top 9Max Clark singles on a line drive to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
bot 8Myles Straw grounds into a double play, first baseman Spencer Torkelson to shortstop John Peck to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Brandon Valenzuela out at 2nd. Myles Straw out at 1st.
bot 8Brandon Valenzuela walks.
bot 8Ernie Clement grounds out, third baseman Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 8Dillon Dingler grounds out, shortstop Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kevin McGonigle 2-5 · Riley Greene 1-4, 1 RBI · Spencer Torkelson 1-2
Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brett Bateman 2-4 · Myles Straw 2-4, 1 RBI · Brandon Valenzuela 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.