Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
1
0% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
8
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 9 H, 0 EJays · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Jays win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Yohel Pozo grounds into a double play, shortstop Andrés Giménez to second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Gunnar Henderson out at 2nd. Yohel Pozo out at 1st.
top 9Coby Mayo strikes out swinging.
top 9Gunnar Henderson singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Pete Alonso to 2nd.
top 9Pete Alonso singles on a line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes.
bot 8Vladimir Guerrero Jr. called out on strikes.
bot 8George Springer doubles (22) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Brandon Valenzuela scores. Myles Straw scores. Brett Bateman scores.1–8
bot 8Brett Bateman walks. Nathan Lukes scores. Brandon Valenzuela to 3rd. Myles Straw to 2nd.1–5
bot 8Myles Straw walks.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 3-5, 1 RBI · Dylan Beavers 2-4 · Gunnar Henderson 1-2
Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 4-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · George Springer 2-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Kazuma Okamoto 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.