Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
7
100% — our call
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
4
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityToronto Blue Jays
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Jays in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 11 H, 1 EJays · 10 H, 0 E
0%
Jays win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Jays win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Alejandro Kirk grounds into a force out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to shortstop Gunnar Henderson. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. out at 2nd.
bot 9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a ground ball to third baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand. Rudy Martin Jr. to 2nd.
bot 9George Springer singles on a line drive to left fielder Dylan Beavers.
bot 9Brett Bateman homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Ernie Clement scores.7–4
bot 9Ernie Clement doubles (31) on a fly ball to right fielder Leody Taveras.
bot 9Andrés Giménez lines out to shortstop Gunnar Henderson.
bot 9Sean Keys strikes out swinging.
top 9Coby Mayo strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dylan Beavers 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3-4 · Coby Mayo 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brett Bateman 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Kazuma Okamoto 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · George Springer 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.